Demographic trends in Russia in the XXI century

Abstract

The article analyzes statistical data characterizing demographic trends in the dynamics of changes in the childrens' population, the able-bodied population and the population of retirement age. The authors consider some trends for changes in the number and structure of the Russian population and their impact on the consumption of socially important services. Peak indicators of various years are considered along with negative statistics. Parallels are drawn between the statistical data of different periods; forecasts based on the number of the population groups in question are outlined. The dynamics of population change is presented in the form of tables and diagrams reflecting the distribution of the population number by age between 1989 and 2016. There is a trend towards an increase in the retirement age population in the 21st century, as well as a steady decline in the proportion of the able-bodied population; possible consequences of this are indicated. On the basis of statistical data on birth rate, a prognosis has been made about an increase in the proportion of the children's population by 2021. The dynamics of demographic changes in the federal districts of the Russian Federation are given. In conclusion, it was noted that in strategic planning and preparation of standards for urban planning of social infrastructure facilities it is necessary to take into account statistical data on population structure.