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Prospects of the Chinese market for Russian agri-food exports
[journal article]
Abstract One of the major targets of modern agri-food policy in Russia is a significant increase of agri-food exports - almost twice as much by 2024. In this projection, China is viewed as the most promising market. However, Russia's entrance to the Chinese market faces a number of constraints. In addition t... view more
One of the major targets of modern agri-food policy in Russia is a significant increase of agri-food exports - almost twice as much by 2024. In this projection, China is viewed as the most promising market. However, Russia's entrance to the Chinese market faces a number of constraints. In addition to the standard difficulties associated with Russia's agricultural and food exports (export infrastructure constraints, expensive logistics, and import bans on certain Russian products), there are fundamental constraints on supply to China in the long-term. This paper formulates a long-term view of the prospects of, and risks associated with, introducing Russian agricultural products into the Chinese market. Methodically, the paper is based on an evaluation of competitive performance by the conventional method of measuring a country’s comparative trade advantages with the Balassa index. Also the authors use trade statistics of Comtrade, Russian and Chinese national statistic agencies, estimates of international analytical centers such as World Bank, USDA, OECD, McKinsey.... view less
Keywords
agriculture; Russia; world trade; China
Classification
Economic Sectors
National Economy
Free Keywords
agri-food policy; agri-food exports; agricultural markets; agriculture in international trade
Document language
English
Publication Year
2020
Page/Pages
p. 71-90
Journal
Russian Journal of Economics, 6 (2020) 1
ISSN
2618-7213
Status
Published Version; reviewed
Licence
Creative Commons - Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0