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Presidential debates and electoral preferences in weakly institutionalised democracies: evidence from 32 Latin American elections
[Zeitschriftenartikel]
Abstract Previous research has shown that presidential debates have "minimal effects" on aggregate electoral preferences because they mainly reinforce people's pre-existing political preferences. However, most of what we know about the behavioural effects of debates comes from research conducted in the Unite... mehr
Previous research has shown that presidential debates have "minimal effects" on aggregate electoral preferences because they mainly reinforce people's pre-existing political preferences. However, most of what we know about the behavioural effects of debates comes from research conducted in the United States and other institutionalised democracies. We re-evaluate the effects of debates on electoral preferences by focusing on Latin American elections. Given higher levels of electoral volatility, weaker partisan brands, lower partisanship, and more personalised voter linkages, we expect that debates play a significant role in shaping vote choice in Latin America. We test these expectations by conducting an analysis of presidential debates on aggregated vote preferences in thirty-two elections across fourteen Latin American countries from 2002 to 2019. Our results show that presidential debates shape electoral preferences in countries with weakly institutionalised party systems.... weniger
Thesaurusschlagwörter
Lateinamerika; Präsidentschaftswahl; Kandidatur; Wahlkampf; Fernsehen; Wahlverhalten; Parteiensystem; Präsidialsystem
Klassifikation
politische Willensbildung, politische Soziologie, politische Kultur
Freie Schlagwörter
Fernsehduell; Institutionalisierung
Sprache Dokument
Englisch
Publikationsjahr
2023
Seitenangabe
S. 239-261
Zeitschriftentitel
Journal of Politics in Latin America, 15 (2023) 3
ISSN
1868-4890
Status
Veröffentlichungsversion; begutachtet (peer reviewed)