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The bottom-up spillover effect for radical right parties
[journal article]
Abstract Previous literature suggests a party’s electoral result can shape its vote share and calculus of voting in a subsequent election. Less is known about whether this information-updating process helps explain the success of radical right parties (RRPs) in a multi-level system. To answer this question, ... view more
Previous literature suggests a party’s electoral result can shape its vote share and calculus of voting in a subsequent election. Less is known about whether this information-updating process helps explain the success of radical right parties (RRPs) in a multi-level system. To answer this question, I use the case of Germany to test whether a bottom-up spillover effect exists for RRPs. Through a regression discontinuity design, I first find that crossing regional electoral hurdles can substantially improve RRPs’ electoral performance in a subsequent general election. Yet, this positive spillover effect cannot be found for other party families. Next, I use a panel to ascertain which mechanisms drive this effect for RRPs. The analysis suggests the legitimation mechanism is more dominant than the viability mechanism and exposure mechanism. These findings enrich our understanding of both the second-order election framework and RRP studies.... view less
Keywords
right-wing radicalism; right-wing extremist party; election; legitimation; election result
Classification
Political Process, Elections, Political Sociology, Political Culture
Free Keywords
concatenated elections; multi-level system; information updating; GLES Panel 2016-2021, Wellen 1-15 (ZA6838 v3.0.0)
Document language
English
Publication Year
2022
Page/Pages
p. 351-366
Journal
European Political Science Review, 14 (2022) 3
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1017/S1755773922000133
ISSN
1755-7747
Status
Published Version; peer reviewed