Russia's Post-Prigozhin Footprint in Africa: Expected Continuities and Change

Abstract

Following patron Yevgeny Prigozhin's death, the Russian state seems set on tying the most notorious Russian mercenary outfit, Wagner Group, more closely to state structures. This has implications not only for the Ukrainian front, but also - and especially - for Russia's footprint in Africa. There, private military contractors previously served an important function both with and in parallel to Moscow's diplomatic and strategic efforts. While continuities are expected, it remains to be seen whether Russia’s activities in Africa will be hampered by the loss of Prigozhin.