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https://doi.org/10.37043/JURA.2018.10.1.3
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Population structure and economic cycles in Greece: A multidimensional regional analysis (1988-2016)
[journal article]
Abstract Demographic structures have undergone important transformations driven by
economic cycles because of population movements and spatially-variable patterns of
fertility and mortality. Understanding the latent relationship between changes over time in
population structure and sequential waves of exp... view more
Demographic structures have undergone important transformations driven by
economic cycles because of population movements and spatially-variable patterns of
fertility and mortality. Understanding the latent relationship between changes over time in
population structure and sequential waves of expansion and recession is a relevant issue
in economic demography. In this regard, the recent history of southern European
countries, and especially of Greece, is representative of consecutive economic expansions
and recessions. The present study aims at investigating relevant modifications in
population structure across Greek regions between 1988 and 2016 using a multi-temporal
factor analysis. Being characterized by a relatively young population with traditional family
structures, out-migration and moderate immigration up to the late 1980s, Greek
demography shifted towards ageing, mononuclear families and a rising immigration rate
during the early 2000s economic expansion, with an overall increase of resident
population. The subsequent 2007 recession has represented a turning point in Greek
demography, consolidating changes in traditional family structures, while stimulating outmigration to northern and western European countries and reducing immigration from
developing countries. A diachronic analysis of population structures at sub-national scale
indicates a substantial heterogeneity of demographic processes across Greek regions.
Metropolitan areas and highly accessible coastal and flat districts including islands
experienced rapid population dynamics, while peripheral rural regions underwent a
moderate population ageing. Taken together, these processes had a short-term, synergic
impact on Greek demographic structure determining a rapid increase in the median
population age with possibly negative consequences for the ability of the country's
economy to recover from crisis.... view less
Keywords
Greece; economic crisis; business cycle; demographical structure; population development; regional comparison
Classification
Population Studies, Sociology of Population
Free Keywords
regional demography; multi-temporal factor analysis
Document language
English
Publication Year
2018
Page/Pages
p. 61-78
Journal
Journal of Urban and Regional Analysis, 10 (2018) 1
ISSN
2067-4082
Status
Published Version; peer reviewed