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The war in Ukraine and its impact on Syria: humanitarian deterioration and risks of disrupting a volatile status quo
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Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik -SWP- Deutsches Institut für Internationale Politik und Sicherheit
Abstract In Syria, the immediate effects of the war in Ukraine have made an already difficult humanitarian situation even worse. Protracted violence in Ukraine or an expansion of the Ukraine war into a larger NATO-Russia confrontation would endanger multilateral cooperation on conflict management, conflict r... view more
In Syria, the immediate effects of the war in Ukraine have made an already difficult humanitarian situation even worse. Protracted violence in Ukraine or an expansion of the Ukraine war into a larger NATO-Russia confrontation would endanger multilateral cooperation on conflict management, conflict resolution and humanitarian issues in Syria. Protracted conflict in Ukraine could also disrupt the volatile status quo in Syria, potentially endangering ceasefire agreements, tilting the power balance in favour of Iran and thereby increasing the risk of military escalation between Iran and its antagonists, complicating the fight against ISIS, and endangering cross-border humanitarian aid deliveries. Europeans should attempt to insulate the war in Ukraine from Syria as much as possible, double down on efforts to renew the UN Security Council resolution that allows for humanitarian access to northwest Syria and contribute to the long-term objective of an inclusive regional security architecture. (author's abstract)... view less
Classification
Peace and Conflict Research, International Conflicts, Security Policy
Free Keywords
Russische Föderation; Aggression (militärisch); Ukraine; Wirkung/Auswirkung; Syrien; Bürgerkrieg; Humanitäre Lage; Humanitäre Krise; Internationaler Akteur; Außenpolitische Interessen; Geopolitische Faktoren; Lebensbedingungen; Sozioökonomische Entwicklung; Vereinigte Staaten; Ad-Daula al-Islamiya/Daʿiš; Terrorismusbekämpfung; Türkei; Iran; Europäische Union
Document language
English
Publication Year
2022
City
Berlin
Page/Pages
8 p.
Series
SWP Comment, 32/2022
DOI
https://doi.org/10.18449/2022C32
ISSN
2747-5107
Status
Published Version; reviewed
Licence
Deposit Licence - No Redistribution, No Modifications