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Motivated political reasoning: The formation of belief-value constellations
[working paper]
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Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung gGmbH
Abstract We study the causal relationship between moral values ("ought" statements) and factual beliefs ("is" statements) and show that, contrary to predictions of orthodox Bayesian models, values exert an influence on beliefs. This effect is mediated by prior political leanings and, thus, contributes to inc... view more
We study the causal relationship between moral values ("ought" statements) and factual beliefs ("is" statements) and show that, contrary to predictions of orthodox Bayesian models, values exert an influence on beliefs. This effect is mediated by prior political leanings and, thus, contributes to increasing polarization in beliefs about facts. We study this process of motivated political reasoning in a preregistered online experiment with a nationally representative sample of 1,500 individuals in the US. Additionally, we show that subjects do not distort their beliefs in response to financial incentives to do so, suggesting that deep values exert a stronger motivational force.... view less
Classification
Political Process, Elections, Political Sociology, Political Culture
Free Keywords
Experiment; Motivated Beliefs; Polarization; Values
Document language
English
Publication Year
2021
City
Berlin
Page/Pages
62 p.
Series
Discussion Papers / Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung, Forschungsschwerpunkt Markt und Entscheidung, Abteilung Ökonomik des Wandels, SP II 2021-306
Handle
http://hdl.handle.net/10419/248731
Status
Published Version; reviewed
Licence
Deposit Licence - No Redistribution, No Modifications