Four scenarios for Belarus by the end of 2022

Dryndova, Olga; Kazakevich, Andrei; Radniankou, Anton; Shmatsina, Katsiaryna; Slunkin, Pavel; Reichardt, Adam; Wanczyk, Kacper; Wierzbowska-Miazga, Agata; Burkhardt, Fabian; Krutzinna, Daniel; Rakhlei, Maryna; Wöllenstein, Jakob

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%T Four scenarios for Belarus by the end of 2022
%A Dryndova, Olga
%A Kazakevich, Andrei
%A Radniankou, Anton
%A Shmatsina, Katsiaryna
%A Slunkin, Pavel
%A Reichardt, Adam
%A Wanczyk, Kacper
%A Wierzbowska-Miazga, Agata
%A Burkhardt, Fabian
%A Krutzinna, Daniel
%A Rakhlei, Maryna
%A Wöllenstein, Jakob
%P 28
%D 2021
%K Belarus; Lukashenko; social mobilization; Eastern Partnership
%~ IOS
%> https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-76018-3
%X This Policy Paper outlines four possible scenarios for the future of the political  system in Belarus by the end of 2022. The scenarios are based on two key drivers  that are crucial for political developments in Belarus: the level of social mobilization  and democratic transition.   The Policy Paper creates a framework for alternative thinking and outlines  important insights, opportunities, and risks. It also formulates desirable normative  options for political developments in Belarus in the upcoming twelve months and  gives policy recommendations on how to make them possible.
%C DEU
%C Berlin
%G en
%9 Arbeitspapier
%W GESIS - http://www.gesis.org
%~ SSOAR - http://www.ssoar.info