Four scenarios for Belarus by the end of 2022

Dryndova, Olga; Kazakevich, Andrei; Radniankou, Anton; Shmatsina, Katsiaryna; Slunkin, Pavel; Reichardt, Adam; Wanczyk, Kacper; Wierzbowska-Miazga, Agata; Burkhardt, Fabian; Krutzinna, Daniel; Rakhlei, Maryna; Wöllenstein, Jakob

[working paper]

dc.contributor.author	Dryndova, Olga	de
dc.contributor.author	Kazakevich, Andrei	de
dc.contributor.author	Radniankou, Anton	de
dc.contributor.author	Shmatsina, Katsiaryna	de
dc.contributor.author	Slunkin, Pavel	de
dc.contributor.author	Reichardt, Adam	de
dc.contributor.author	Wanczyk, Kacper	de
dc.contributor.author	Wierzbowska-Miazga, Agata	de
dc.contributor.author	Burkhardt, Fabian	de
dc.contributor.author	Krutzinna, Daniel	de
dc.contributor.author	Rakhlei, Maryna	de
dc.contributor.author	Wöllenstein, Jakob	de
dc.date.accessioned	2021-11-30T15:34:45Z
dc.date.available	2021-11-30T15:34:45Z
dc.date.issued	2021	de
dc.identifier.uri	https://www.ssoar.info/ssoar/handle/document/76018
dc.description.abstract	This Policy Paper outlines four possible scenarios for the future of the political system in Belarus by the end of 2022. The scenarios are based on two key drivers that are crucial for political developments in Belarus: the level of social mobilization and democratic transition. The Policy Paper creates a framework for alternative thinking and outlines important insights, opportunities, and risks. It also formulates desirable normative options for political developments in Belarus in the upcoming twelve months and gives policy recommendations on how to make them possible.	de
dc.language	en	de
dc.subject.ddc	Internationale Beziehungen	de
dc.subject.ddc	Politikwissenschaft	de
dc.subject.ddc	International relations	en
dc.subject.ddc	Political science	en
dc.subject.other	Belarus; Lukashenko; social mobilization; Eastern Partnership	de
dc.title	Four scenarios for Belarus by the end of 2022	de
dc.description.review	begutachtet	de
dc.description.review	reviewed	en
dc.publisher.country	DEU	de
dc.publisher.city	Berlin	de
dc.source.series	Policy Paper / Arbeitskreis Belarus
dc.subject.classoz	Political Process, Elections, Political Sociology, Political Culture	en
dc.subject.classoz	International Relations, International Politics, Foreign Affairs, Development Policy	en
dc.subject.classoz	internationale Beziehungen, Entwicklungspolitik	de
dc.subject.classoz	politische Willensbildung, politische Soziologie, politische Kultur	de
dc.subject.thesoz	politisches System	de
dc.subject.thesoz	EU	en
dc.subject.thesoz	international relations	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Szenario	de
dc.subject.thesoz	soziale Bewegung	de
dc.subject.thesoz	social movement	en
dc.subject.thesoz	democratization	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Transition	de
dc.subject.thesoz	opposition	en
dc.subject.thesoz	politische Entwicklung	de
dc.subject.thesoz	autoritäres System	de
dc.subject.thesoz	authoritarian system	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Russland	de
dc.subject.thesoz	transition	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Opposition	de
dc.subject.thesoz	Russia	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Belorussia	en
dc.subject.thesoz	political system	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Demokratisierung	de
dc.subject.thesoz	internationale Beziehungen	de
dc.subject.thesoz	Weißrussland	de
dc.subject.thesoz	political development	en
dc.subject.thesoz	scenario	en
dc.subject.thesoz	EU	de
dc.identifier.urn	urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-76018-3
dc.rights.licence	Creative Commons - Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0	en
dc.rights.licence	Creative Commons - Namensnennung, Nicht kommerz., Keine Bearbeitung 4.0	de
ssoar.contributor.institution	IOS
internal.status	formal und inhaltlich fertig erschlossen	de
internal.identifier.thesoz	10041441
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dc.type.stock	monograph	de
dc.type.document	Arbeitspapier	de
dc.type.document	working paper	en
dc.source.pageinfo	28	de
internal.identifier.classoz	10504
internal.identifier.classoz	10505
internal.identifier.document	3
dc.contributor.corporateeditor	Deutsch-Russischer Austausch (DRA) e.V.
internal.identifier.corporateeditor	1265
internal.identifier.ddc	327
internal.identifier.ddc	320
dc.description.pubstatus	Published Version	en
dc.description.pubstatus	Veröffentlichungsversion	de
internal.identifier.licence	20
internal.identifier.pubstatus	1
internal.identifier.review	2
internal.identifier.series	1862
dc.subject.classhort	10500	de
ssoar.wgl.collection	true	de
internal.pdf.wellformed	true
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politische Willensbildung, politische Soziologie, politische Kultur
Political Process, Elections, Political Sociology, Political Culture
internationale Beziehungen, Entwicklungspolitik
International Relations, International Politics, Foreign Affairs, Development Policy

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