What makes voters turn out: the effects of polls and beliefs

Agranov, Marina; Goeree, Jacob K.; Romero, Julian; Yariv, Leeat

[working paper]

dc.contributor.author	Agranov, Marina	de
dc.contributor.author	Goeree, Jacob K.	de
dc.contributor.author	Romero, Julian	de
dc.contributor.author	Yariv, Leeat	de
dc.date.accessioned	2020-10-13T12:53:48Z
dc.date.available	2020-10-13T12:53:48Z
dc.date.issued	2016	de
dc.identifier.uri	https://www.ssoar.info/ssoar/handle/document/70073
dc.description.abstract	We use laboratory experiments to test for one of the foundations of the rational voter paradigm - that voters respond to probabilities of being pivotal. We exploit a setup that entails stark theoretical effects of information concerning the preference distribution (as revealed through polls) on costly participation decisions. We find that voting propensity increases systematically with subjects' predictions of their preferred alternative's advantage. Consequently, pre-election polls do not exhibit the detrimental welfare effects that extant theoretical work predicts. They lead to more participation by the expected majority and generate more landslide elections.	de
dc.language	en	de
dc.subject.other	C92; Collective Choice; D02; D72; Polls; Strategic Voting	de
dc.title	What makes voters turn out: the effects of polls and beliefs	de
dc.description.review	begutachtet	de
dc.description.review	reviewed	en
dc.source.volume	SP II 2016-206	de
dc.publisher.country	DEU
dc.publisher.city	Berlin	de
dc.source.series	Discussion Papers / Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung, Forschungsschwerpunkt Markt und Entscheidung, Abteilung Verhalten auf Märkten
dc.subject.classoz	Political Process, Elections, Political Sociology, Political Culture	en
dc.subject.classoz	politische Willensbildung, politische Soziologie, politische Kultur	de
dc.subject.thesoz	strategy	en
dc.subject.thesoz	election	en
dc.subject.thesoz	survey research	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Laborexperiment	de
dc.subject.thesoz	Abstimmung	de
dc.subject.thesoz	laboratory experiment	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Strategie	de
dc.subject.thesoz	voting	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Umfrageforschung	de
dc.subject.thesoz	Wahl	de
dc.rights.licence	Deposit Licence - Keine Weiterverbreitung, keine Bearbeitung	de
dc.rights.licence	Deposit Licence - No Redistribution, No Modifications	en
ssoar.contributor.institution	WZB	de
internal.status	formal und inhaltlich fertig erschlossen	de
internal.identifier.thesoz	10040714
internal.identifier.thesoz	10034501
internal.identifier.thesoz	10043016
internal.identifier.thesoz	10034500
internal.identifier.thesoz	10034457
dc.type.stock	monograph	de
dc.type.document	Arbeitspapier	de
dc.type.document	working paper	en
dc.source.pageinfo	40	de
internal.identifier.document	3
dc.contributor.corporateeditor	Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung gGmbH
internal.identifier.corporateeditor	381
dc.description.pubstatus	Published Version	en
dc.description.pubstatus	Veröffentlichungsversion	de
internal.identifier.licence	3
internal.identifier.pubstatus	1
internal.identifier.review	2
internal.identifier.series	961
dc.subject.classification	10504	de
internal.dda.reference	https://www.econstor.eu/oai/request@@oai:econstor.eu:10419/146628
dc.identifier.handle	http://hdl.handle.net/10419/146628	de
ssoar.urn.registration	false	de

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