Four Scenarios for the Crisis in Belarus

Rácz, András; Gherasimov, Cristina; Nič, Milan

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dc.contributor.author	Rácz, András	de
dc.contributor.author	Gherasimov, Cristina	de
dc.contributor.author	Nič, Milan	de
dc.date.accessioned	2020-09-21T08:58:05Z
dc.date.available	2020-09-21T08:58:05Z
dc.date.issued	2020	de
dc.identifier.issn	2198-5936	de
dc.identifier.uri	https://www.ssoar.info/ssoar/handle/document/69725
dc.description.abstract	As protests continue to galvanize Belarus, Alexander Lukashenko is consolidating his grip on power. Volatile domestic dynamics - and Russia’s reactions to them - will shape the discredited regime’s future. This paper outlines four possible scenarios for Belarus up to one year from now. They include options for Russia and the EU, whose strategic objectives differ, but whose short-term interests align: preventing bloodshed, avoiding open geopolitical conflict, and preparing for a post-Lukashenko transition.	de
dc.language	en	de
dc.subject.ddc	Politikwissenschaft	de
dc.subject.ddc	Political science	en
dc.subject.ddc	Internationale Beziehungen	de
dc.subject.ddc	International relations	en
dc.subject.other	Belarus; Lukashenko, A.	de
dc.title	Four Scenarios for the Crisis in Belarus	de
dc.description.review	begutachtet	de
dc.description.review	reviewed	en
dc.source.volume	16	de
dc.publisher.country	DEU
dc.publisher.city	Berlin	de
dc.source.series	DGAP Policy Brief
dc.subject.classoz	politische Willensbildung, politische Soziologie, politische Kultur	de
dc.subject.classoz	Political Process, Elections, Political Sociology, Political Culture	en
dc.subject.classoz	internationale Beziehungen, Entwicklungspolitik	de
dc.subject.classoz	International Relations, International Politics, Foreign Affairs, Development Policy	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Weißrussland	de
dc.subject.thesoz	Belorussia	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Protest	de
dc.subject.thesoz	protest	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Machtsicherung	de
dc.subject.thesoz	securing of power	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Präsident	de
dc.subject.thesoz	president	en
dc.subject.thesoz	politische Stabilität	de
dc.subject.thesoz	political stability	en
dc.subject.thesoz	politische Macht	de
dc.subject.thesoz	political power	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Autoritarismus	de
dc.subject.thesoz	authoritarianism	en
dc.subject.thesoz	Russland	de
dc.subject.thesoz	Russia	en
dc.subject.thesoz	EU	de
dc.subject.thesoz	EU	en
dc.identifier.urn	urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-69725-5
dc.rights.licence	Creative Commons - Namensnennung, Nicht kommerz., Keine Bearbeitung 4.0	de
dc.rights.licence	Creative Commons - Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 4.0	en
internal.status	formal und inhaltlich fertig erschlossen	de
internal.identifier.thesoz	10064146
internal.identifier.thesoz	10055506
internal.identifier.thesoz	10046578
internal.identifier.thesoz	10040075
internal.identifier.thesoz	10044378
internal.identifier.thesoz	10049213
internal.identifier.thesoz	10037551
internal.identifier.thesoz	10057012
internal.identifier.thesoz	10041441
dc.type.stock	monograph	de
dc.type.document	Stellungnahme	de
dc.type.document	comment	en
dc.source.pageinfo	9	de
internal.identifier.classoz	10504
internal.identifier.classoz	10505
internal.identifier.document	27
dc.contributor.corporateeditor	Forschungsinstitut der Deutschen Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik e.V.
internal.identifier.corporateeditor	108
internal.identifier.ddc	320
internal.identifier.ddc	327
dc.description.pubstatus	Veröffentlichungsversion	de
dc.description.pubstatus	Published Version	en
internal.identifier.licence	20
internal.identifier.pubstatus	1
internal.identifier.review	2
internal.identifier.series	1535
internal.pdf.wellformed	true
internal.pdf.encrypted	false

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politische Willensbildung, politische Soziologie, politische Kultur
Political Process, Elections, Political Sociology, Political Culture
internationale Beziehungen, Entwicklungspolitik
International Relations, International Politics, Foreign Affairs, Development Policy

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