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https://doi.org/10.1016/j.electstud.2020.102126
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Do parties perceive their voter potentials correctly? Reconsidering the spatial logic of electoral competition
[Zeitschriftenartikel]
Abstract Political parties strive for maximizing their vote shares. One way to achieve this goal is to attract voters from competitors. A precondition for strategies aiming at attracting these voters is that parties perceive their voter potentials among their rivals' electorates correctly. Yet, hardly anythi... mehr
Political parties strive for maximizing their vote shares. One way to achieve this goal is to attract voters from competitors. A precondition for strategies aiming at attracting these voters is that parties perceive their voter potentials among their rivals' electorates correctly. Yet, hardly anything is known about such perceptions. To fill this gap, we develop analogue measures of a party's perceived and its actual voter potential for each competitor in a party system. Combining elite and mass surveys conducted in Germany, we show that perceived and actual voter potentials depend on spatial considerations but also that not all parties are able to correctly evaluate their potentials. These deviations can be traced back to differences in the perceived placement of political actors between elites and citizens. This supports the spatial logic of party competition but it also points to potential pitfalls for strategic behavior of political parties.... weniger
Thesaurusschlagwörter
Partei; Wahlkampf; Wahlverhalten; Bundesrepublik Deutschland
Klassifikation
politische Willensbildung, politische Soziologie, politische Kultur
Freie Schlagwörter
parties' perceptions; party competition; spatial models; voter potentials; 2017 candidate survey and 2017 post-election voter survey of the German Longitudinal Election Study (GLES)
Sprache Dokument
Englisch
Publikationsjahr
2020
Zeitschriftentitel
Electoral Studies, 65 (2020)
Handle
https://hdl.handle.net/10419/218839
ISSN
1873-6890
Status
Postprint; begutachtet (peer reviewed)
Lizenz
Creative Commons - Namensnennung, Nicht kommerz., Keine Bearbeitung 4.0