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The end of the INF Treaty is looming: a new nuclear arms race can still be prevented
Der INF-Vertrag vor dem Aus: ein neuer nuklearer Rüstungswettlauf könnte dennoch verhindert werden
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Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik -SWP- Deutsches Institut für Internationale Politik und Sicherheit
Abstract President Trump wants to terminate the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty signed in 1987. Its aim was to end the nuclear deployment race between the US and the then Soviet Union in Europe. Trump justified his intention by accusing Russia of violating the Treaty. Moscow denies this and al... view more
President Trump wants to terminate the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty signed in 1987. Its aim was to end the nuclear deployment race between the US and the then Soviet Union in Europe. Trump justified his intention by accusing Russia of violating the Treaty. Moscow denies this and also accuses Washington of being in breach of the Treaty. Trump has argued that China’s INF potential is also jeopardising the US's strategic position. However, this unilateral move by Washington contradicts NATO's recent positions. If the US were to withdraw from the INF Treaty, another cornerstone of the European security order and the global nuclear order would collapse. Unpredictability and destabilisation would increase. Europe must resolutely oppose the threat of a new nuclear arms race. It should insist on verifying the accusations from both sides under transparent and cooperative conditions and, if necessary, agree on additional stabilisation measures in order to preserve the Treaty or limit the consequences of a US withdrawal. (author's abstract)... view less
Keywords
international relations; arms race; arms control; medium-range weapon; nuclear weapon; Russia; international agreement; NATO; security policy; arms limitation; United States of America
Classification
International Relations, International Politics, Foreign Affairs, Development Policy
Peace and Conflict Research, International Conflicts, Security Policy
Free Keywords
Intermediate Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (1987-12-08); Nukleare Mittelstreckenwaffen; Ballistischer Flugkörper; Ballistische U-Boot-Rakete; Reichweite von Luftfahrzeugen, Flugkörpern oder Lenkwaffen; Marschflugkörper; Luftgestützter Marschflugkörper; Seegestützter Marschflugkörper; Schiff-Boden-Flugkörper; Unterwasser-Boden-Flugkörper
Document language
English
Publication Year
2019
City
Berlin
Page/Pages
8 p.
Series
SWP Comment, 4/2019
DOI
https://doi.org/10.18449/2019C04
ISSN
1861-1761
Status
Published Version; reviewed
Licence
Deposit Licence - No Redistribution, No Modifications