dc.contributor.author | Smirnov, V. A. | |
dc.date.accessioned | 2017-05-08T08:30:34Z | |
dc.date.available | 2017-05-08T08:30:34Z | |
dc.date.issued | 2016 | |
dc.identifier.issn | 2079-8555 | |
dc.identifier.uri | http://www.ssoar.info/ssoar/handle/document/51573 | |
dc.description.abstract | This paper provides an overview of different approaches to forecasting the future of the three Baltic States. The author's theoretical approach to studying Baltic elites is used to forecast changes in the action models of the Baltic elites. The article stresses the scarcity of internal political processes in the Baltics. However, a significant number of scenarios focusing on military aspects in the Baltics have recently been published. The author distinguishes between inertia, confrontation, and cooperation scenarios and examines their prerequisites and possible consequences. The scenarios are developed based on an analysis of geographic, economic, and political factors. The decisive factor is a state-controlled foreign policy, which is affected by the international situation as well as relations between the state and the external resources exploited by political elites. The paper contributes to the general debate about the factors of political development and the role of political elites in it. The author pr ovides additional material for analysing possible developments in the domestic policies of the Baltic States in view of external factors. | en |
dc.language | en | |
dc.subject.ddc | Städtebau, Raumplanung, Landschaftsgestaltung | de |
dc.subject.ddc | Landscaping and area planning | en |
dc.subject.ddc | Politikwissenschaft | de |
dc.subject.ddc | Political science | en |
dc.title | Forecasting actions of Baltic elites: a scenario approach | |
dc.title.alternative | Об основных прогнозах действий политических элит Прибалтики: сценарный подход | |
dc.description.review | begutachtet (peer reviewed) | de |
dc.description.review | peer reviewed | en |
dc.source.journal | Baltic Region | |
dc.publisher.country | RUS | |
dc.source.issue | 3 | |
dc.subject.classoz | Raumplanung und Regionalforschung | de |
dc.subject.classoz | Area Development Planning, Regional Research | en |
dc.subject.classoz | politische Willensbildung, politische Soziologie, politische Kultur | de |
dc.subject.classoz | Political Process, Elections, Political Sociology, Political Culture | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | politische Elite | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | political elite | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | Baltikum | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | Baltic States | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | Litauen | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | Lithuania | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | Lettland | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | Latvia | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | Estland | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | Estonia | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | Prognose | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | prognosis | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | Szenario | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | scenario | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | Außenpolitik | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | foreign policy | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | Innenpolitik | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | domestic policy | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | wirtschaftliche Faktoren | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | economic factors | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | politische Faktoren | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | political factors | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | geographische Faktoren | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | geographical factors | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | Konfrontationspolitik | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | policy of confrontation | en |
dc.subject.thesoz | Kooperation | de |
dc.subject.thesoz | cooperation | en |
dc.identifier.urn | urn:nbn:de:0168-ssoar-51573-8 | |
dc.rights.licence | Digital Peer Publishing Licence - Freie DIPP-Lizenz | de |
dc.rights.licence | Free Digital Peer Publishing Licence | en |
internal.status | formal und inhaltlich fertig erschlossen | |
internal.identifier.thesoz | 10041891 | |
internal.identifier.thesoz | 10037610 | |
internal.identifier.thesoz | 10037614 | |
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internal.identifier.thesoz | 10037612 | |
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internal.identifier.thesoz | 10042918 | |
dc.type.stock | article | |
dc.type.document | Zeitschriftenartikel | de |
dc.type.document | journal article | en |
dc.source.pageinfo | 84-97 | |
internal.identifier.classoz | 20700 | |
internal.identifier.classoz | 10504 | |
internal.identifier.journal | 38 | |
internal.identifier.document | 32 | |
internal.identifier.ddc | 710 | |
internal.identifier.ddc | 320 | |
dc.identifier.doi | https://doi.org/10.5922/2079-8555-2016-3-7 | |
dc.description.pubstatus | Veröffentlichungsversion | de |
dc.description.pubstatus | Published Version | en |
internal.identifier.licence | 5 | |
internal.identifier.pubstatus | 1 | |
internal.identifier.review | 1 | |
internal.pdf.version | 1.7 | |
internal.pdf.valid | false | |
internal.pdf.wellformed | false | |
internal.check.abstractlanguageharmonizer | CERTAIN | |
internal.check.languageharmonizer | CERTAIN_RETAINED | |