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The Paris Agreement: Short-Term and Long-Term Effectiveness
[journal article]
Abstract "The 2015 Paris Agreement was widely greeted with enthusiasm. We assess the short-term and long-term potential effectiveness of Paris. Concerning short-term effectiveness, we contend that while Paris scores high on participation, and reasonably high on the depth of the parties' commitments (ambition... view more
"The 2015 Paris Agreement was widely greeted with enthusiasm. We assess the short-term and long-term potential effectiveness of Paris. Concerning short-term effectiveness, we contend that while Paris scores high on participation, and reasonably high on the depth of the parties' commitments (ambition), its Achilles' heel will likely be compliance. Concerning long-term effectiveness, we argue that Paris does little to restructure states’ incentives so as to avoid free riding. At worst, it might end up as a failure, much like Kyoto did. On the other hand, domestic and international norms could continue to develop in a direction that makes it more and more difficult for individuals, firms, and states alike to ignore the plea to limit and reduce their carbon footprints. Technological progress that gradually reduces abatement costs, combined with leadership by major emitters such as the United States, might further strengthen climate cooperation and enhance other countries' willingness to follow through. However, deep political polarization continues to represent a significant barrier to U.S. leadership on climate change." (author's abstract)... view less
Keywords
climate change; climate protection; climate policy; international agreement; international cooperation; effectiveness
Classification
Special areas of Departmental Policy
International Relations, International Politics, Foreign Affairs, Development Policy
Document language
English
Publication Year
2016
Page/Pages
p. 209-218
Journal
Politics and Governance, 4 (2016) 3
Issue topic
Climate Governance and the Paris Agreement
ISSN
2183-2463
Status
Published Version; peer reviewed
Licence
Creative Commons - Attribution