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Balancing on the brink: Lebanon, tangled up in the Syrian war, struggles to maintain its stability
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Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik -SWP- Deutsches Institut für Internationale Politik und Sicherheit
Abstract So far, the Syrian war and the involvement of Lebanese actors in it has not spread to Lebanon, despite the fears of many. In spite of irreconcilable differences on the Syrian issue, Lebanon’s political camps have reached a fragile consensus that makes it possible for political institutions to functi... view more
So far, the Syrian war and the involvement of Lebanese actors in it has not spread to Lebanon, despite the fears of many. In spite of irreconcilable differences on the Syrian issue, Lebanon’s political camps have reached a fragile consensus that makes it possible for political institutions to function at least rudimentarily and for the security situation to be provisionally stabilized. However, this consensus remains precarious and threatened by the ambitions of Lebanese actors and by regional tensions. Moreover, Hezbollah’s active involvement in the Syria conflict steadily increases the likelihood of a renewed military confrontation with Israel. Germany and its European partners must do their part to pre-empt such a confrontation, to support the dialogue between the Lebanese parties through mediation, and to stop regional tensions from spilling over. (Autorenreferat)... view less
Keywords
Lebanon; religious group; civil war; military; international security; stabilization; domestic security; Syria; domestic policy; head of state; political development; risk assessment
Classification
Peace and Conflict Research, International Conflicts, Security Policy
Document language
English
Publication Year
2015
City
Berlin
Page/Pages
7 p.
Series
SWP Comment, 24/2015
ISSN
1861-1761
Status
Published Version; reviewed
Licence
Deposit Licence - No Redistribution, No Modifications